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Mexico vs South Africa

Thu, Jun 11, 07:00 PM
Group A
Final
2 – 0

Prediction · after 90'

52%
24%
24%
MEX · 52.1%Draw · 23.7%RSA · 24.2%

Expected goals

1.73 MEX
1.1 RSA

Confidence

medium

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–16.5%

Why

Mexico
  • Higher rating (+137 Elo)
  • Stronger attacking output (2.00 vs 0.50 goals/match)
  • More resilient defense (0.60 goals conceded/match)
  • Model expects them to control chance creation (1.7 xG vs 1.1)
South Africa
  • No standout edge in the inputs