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Ecuador vs Germany

Thu, Jun 25, 08:00 PM
Group E
Final
2 – 1

Prediction · after 90'

20%
22%
57%
ECU · 20.4%Draw · 22.2%GER · 57.4%

Expected goals

1.04 ECU
1.89 GER

Confidence

high

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–29.6%
  • 1–36.3%

Why

Ecuador
  • More resilient defense (1.00 goals conceded/match)
Germany
  • Higher rating (+65 Elo)
  • Stronger attacking output (2.78 vs 0.50 goals/match)
  • Model expects them to control chance creation (1.9 xG vs 1.0)