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England vs Croatia

Wed, Jun 17, 08:00 PM
Group L
Final
4 – 2

Prediction · after 90'

48%
26%
27%
ENG · 47.9%Draw · 25.6%CRO · 26.5%

Expected goals

1.53 ENG
1.07 CRO

Confidence

medium

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 0–18.0%

Why

England
  • Higher rating (+245 Elo)
  • Stronger attacking output (2.20 vs 1.29 goals/match)
  • More resilient defense (1.40 goals conceded/match)
  • Model expects them to control chance creation (1.5 xG vs 1.1)
Croatia
  • No standout edge in the inputs