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France vs Iraq

Mon, Jun 22, 09:00 PM
Group I
Final
3 – 0

Prediction · after 90'

47%
28%
25%
FRA · 46.6%Draw · 28.1%IRQ · 25.3%

Expected goals

1.32 FRA
0.9 IRQ

Confidence

medium

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.3%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–09.5%

Why

France
  • Higher rating (+275 Elo)
  • Stronger attacking output (2.07 vs 0.50 goals/match)
  • More resilient defense (1.14 goals conceded/match)
  • Model expects them to control chance creation (1.3 xG vs 0.9)
Iraq
  • No standout edge in the inputs